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objective probabilities
(redirected from Objective probability)

   Also found in: Financial 0.01 sec.
objective probabilities [əb′jek·tiv ‚präb·ə′bil·əd·ēz]
(statistics)
Probabilities determined by the long-run relative frequency of an event. Also known as frequency probabilities.


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27) Using Reyna (2004) terminology, the objective probability distribution is not captured as part of the "gist" of the problem; Reyna uses similar ideas to explain the "base-rate neglect.
It seems even more attractive when you consider that, if you know enough about the horses to assess their objective probability of winning, you might reasonably be in a position to select a small number in each race that will give you a better than 50 per cent chance of getting each leg right.
s] than the objective probability due to the "overconfidence effect" (Griffin and Varey, 1996, Dunning et al.
 
 
 
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