Kill probability can be increased by the use of twin- or quad-mounts.
Finally, some engagements were conducted in conditions when the
kill probability was low, such as at too long a range.
The digital electronics allowed the use of a more modern proportional navigation method in the missile guidance instead of line-of-sight guidance, which greatly increases the
kill probability, especially against agile, maneuvering targets.
* increase of air target
kill probability by more than an order of magnitude owing to the new multi-purpose firing algorithm, as well as high-frequency range finding (frequency of up to 5 Hz);
The SA-16 theoretically had the SA-14's ECM resistance, but the dynamics of the missile greatly increased its overall
kill probability.
In general, the emphasis in drone armament will thus continue to be on combining light weight and high single-shot
kill probability. In the context of internally carried weapons for first-day-of-war stealthy drones, small overall dimensions will also be of crucial importance.
The basic missile tested was the same 48N6-2 missile used in the S-300PMU-2 but with a new guidance algorithm that increased missile maneuverability and
kill probability. Also, the 9M96E and 9M96E2 (9M96 and 9M96M to some Russian sources; 9M96E and 9M96E2 are export designations) missiles have been tested against ballistic types of targets.
The capabilities of the optical-tracking system will be improved to increase the overall fire accuracy and
kill probability. There will be new electronics for measuring target-trajectory data more rapidly and with higher accuracy and new software for the fire-control computer and radar that will increase resistance to jamming and improve the ability for the system to detect and track small-radar-cross-section targets, such as cruise missiles and small unmanned aerial vehicles.
Stabilisation makes an enormous difference in
kill probability. According to Kollmorgen, at 2400 metres the Mk 98
kill probability (presumably against a small target) is 60 per cent, compared to one percent for the Mk 88.
The
kill probability is about 90% in cloudless or high-cloud conditions.
In general, cannon provide a much higher
kill probability than machine-guns, but they are more expensive and their increased range demands more sophisticated fire-control systems.
* A new 9M31 IM missile (replacing the 9M311) with a range increased from 8 to 10 km and possessing a new radar proximity fuze in place of a laser proximity fuze, which increases the
kill probability against cruise missiles