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exponential smoothing |
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exponential smoothingA widely used technique in forecasting trends, seasonality and level change. Works well with data that has a lot of randomness. exponential smoothing [‚ek·spə′nen·chəl ′smüth·iŋ] (industrial engineering) A mathematical-statistical method of forecasting used in industrial engineering which assumes that demand for the following period is some weighted average of the demands for the past periods. How to thank TFD for its existence? Tell a friend about us, add a link to this page, add the site to iGoogle, or visit webmaster's page for free fun content. |
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| Forecasting, based on sales history, can be done using polynomial regression, exponential smoothing with trend analysis or time series analysis. It provides coverage of seasonal decomposition, mean reversion, heavy-tailed distributions, exponential smoothing, spike pre-processing, autoregressive time series including models with exogenous variables and heteroskedastic (GARCH) components, regime-switching models, interval forecasts, jump-diffusion models, derivatives pricing and the market price of risk. As shown in exhibit 2, page 67, Excel offers an exponential smoothing and moving-average trend line in addition to the regression choices. |
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