forecast verification

forecast verification

[¦fȯr‚kast ‚ver·ə·fə′kā·shən]
(meteorology)
Any process for determining the accuracy of a weather forecast by comparing the predicted weather with the observed weather of the forecast period; used to test forecasting skills and methods.
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ru), the forecasters and the project participants could access the data in digital and graphical formats and also use additional online tools for forecast verification and comparison.
The authors acknowledge the guidance of the WWRP and its working groups, especially the Nowcasting and Mesoscale Research and Forecast Verification Research Working Groups, in facilitating and promoting this work.
Case studies of the river city Sondrio in the Italian Alps highlight the problems analysts face when implementing flood forecast verification methods, damage assessment tools, and a damage reduction index.
31) by WeatheRate, which Channel 5 says is the only independent forecast verification company in the nation.
As before, they focus on forecast verification in atmospheric science, though medicine and many other fields are demonstrating interest of their own.
Forecast verification was done on a daily basis and compared the forecast in the evening with the actual result the next day.
Traditionally, forecast verification has focused on weather variables that are of little direct value for most users of weather information, such as the 500-hPa geopotential height.
The subjectivity involved in choosing the type of forecast product and classifying the observations results in a confusing picture of flash flooding across the nation and contributes to the challenge of both flash flood forecast verification and forecast improvement.
The National Hurricane Center's 2011 tropical cyclone report provides a quantitative account of the synoptic history and forecast verification.
Franklin, 2012a: 2011 Atlantic and eastern North Pacific forecast verification.