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futurology

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futurology

Study of current trends in order to forecast future developments. The field originated in the “technological forecasting” developed near the end of World War II and in studies examining the consequences of nuclear conflict. Studies in the 1960s sought to anticipate future social patterns and needs. The Limits of Growth by Dennis Meadows, et al. (1972), focused on global socioeconomic trends, projecting a Malthusian vision in which the collapse of the world order would result if population growth, industrial expansion, pollution, food production, and natural-resource use continued at current rates. Later reports reiterated many of these concerns, with critics contending that futurologists' models were flawed and futurologists responding that their analytic techniques were becoming increasingly sophisticated. Other notable works include Alvin Toffler's Future Shock (1970), Daniel Bell's The Coming of Post-Industrial Society (1973), Jonathan Schell's The Fate of the Earth (1982), and Nigel Calder's The Green Machines (1986).


futurology
the study or prediction of the future of mankind


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This approach surfaces in treatises on psychological aesthetics based on empirical studies for his doctoral work, as well as in discussions of art forms he considered symptomatic of a crisis of experience brought about by developments ranging from consumer culture to space travel to futurology.
He has written more than two hundred papers on tactics and operational art that include such fundamental military theory works as "Principles of Combined-Arms Combat" and "Military Futurology.
The author insists, however, that his arguments and prescriptions for the present and future derive from the historical scheme earlier developed and schematized, so even Bobbitt's futurology invites evaluation according to the standards of historical scholarship.
 
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