Inexplicably, the graphical area forecast
is missing, but that's on AviationWeather.gov.
Nonetheless, widespread operational use ("NCAR ensemble in NWS area forecast
discussions" sidebar) and favorable survey responses regarding spread and skill (Figs.
It's not a legal replacement for area forecasts
, but intended for supplemental reference.
Number and rate of fatal aviation occupational crashes and associated fatalities--Alaska, 2000-2004, 2005-2009, and 2010 Event 2000-2004 2005-2009 2010 Fatal occupational crashes 32 16 6 Rate 6.5 * 4.4 * Per year 6 ([dagger]) 3 ([dagger]) Occupational fatalities 53 25 12 Rate 10.8 * 6.9 * Per year 11 ([dagger]) 5 ([dagger]) * Rate per 1 million departures for air carrier, air taxi and commuter, and general aviation operations based on Federal Aviation Administration Terminal Area Forecast
data, available at http://aspm.faa.gov/main/taf.asp.
Given that euro area forecast
is for a "strong" -0.5% q/q, any material upside news from Belgium this week could trigger a modest upwards revision to the euro area estimates.
AS financial institutions came to terms with the Government's decision to inject hundreds of billions of pounds into the system, Lloyds TSB gave its most downbeat Northern area forecast
US and Euro Area forecast
evaluation US GDP US Inflation Naive 1 Naive 2 Naive 1 Naive 2 Scores for NIESR 10 10 8 8 Total 15 15 16 16 binomial standard error 0.131 0.131 0.129 0.129 t' statistic 1.275 1.275 0.000 0.000 Diebold-Mariano 1993-2006 -0.30 0.05 0.97 1.32 2000-2006 -1.11 -0.99 0.24 0.48 Euro Area GDP Euro Area Inflation Naive 1 Naive 2 Naive 1 Naive 2 Scores for NIESR 3 3 6 6 Total 8 8 7 7 binomial standard error 0.183 0.183 0.143 0.143 t' statistic -0.683 -0.683 2.500 2.500 Diebold-Mariano 1993-2006 2000-2006 -0.04 0.23 -0.81 -0.74 Notes: As table 5.
It is designed to distribute essential World Area Forecast
System (WAFS) products and global OPMET data to ATC desktops, and enables the Met Office-based WAFC (World Area Forecast
Centre) London to distribute data to more than 90 ICAO states in Africa, Europe and western Asia--the rest of the world is covered by WAFC Washington, supported by the US National Weather Service.
No matter what the official area forecast
, I suspect some heavy droplets will be coming down in our Medford, N.J., offices in early April.
Mack Robinson College of Business is one of the few university-based forecasting centers in the United States that does a national, regional, and local metropolitan area forecast
on a quarterly basis.
World Area Forecast
Centre (WAFC)--The Met Office is one of only two ICAO-appointed WAFCs in the world.
There have been many articles and sections of books written about small area population forecasting, but few articles have addressed the issue of the accuracy of the small area forecast
. Little is known about the magnitude or the characteristics of the error generated in small area forecasts