Finally, the starting pitchers may have the largest impact on game-to-game probability deviation
. Maybe the Yankees' Win% against the Browns would be 0.892 over 11 games, but depending on the pitching matchup, it might be .900 one day, .700 the next, .500 the next, and so on.
In slight, moderate, and severe damage states, damage probability deviations corresponding to 1# and 3# bearings all presented the first increase at first, followed by the decrease trend with an increase of PGA.
Figures 8(d)-8(g) show that, for 1#, 3#, and 4# piers, their damage probability deviations were negative, while, for 2# pier (braking pier), its damage deviations in various damage states were all positive.